Arizona Republicans have leveraged their super majorities in both legislative chambers for the last two years to enact nearly all their agenda.

Now with redistricting, legislator retirements and a potentially resurgent Democratic Party, next week's primary voting and the November general election could cause some power shifts, some subtle, some overt, say four political journalists who cover the Legislature.

In any case, they agree, the GOP will retain its majorities in both chambers, but the super majorities are likely to be gone.

"I don't think anybody's talking super majority," said Mary Jo Pitzl, legislative reporter for the Arizona Republic. "Some say the Democrats (in the Senate) will pick up three seats, to make it 18-12 split. (Republican Majority Leader Andy) Biggs says it could be 19, could be 17."

In the House, Pitzl said, "The Democrats might pick up five seats, maybe a little north of that."

Pitzl, Luige del Puerto of the Arizona Capitol Times and Arizona Public Media political correspondents Andrea Kelly and Christopher Conover discussed the elections scenarios for Friday's Arizona Week broadcast.

All agreed that the dynamic will change, and without a super majority, there will exist the possibility that on contentious issues, some Republicans might get "peeled off," as Pitzl put it, to vote with the other party on some issues.

She said that could lead to a "boomerang effect" in the next election cycle in which someone from the majority party "could be punished for not poeing the party line."

Del Puerto, who covers the state Senate, said he thinks the Legislature will remain as conservative as it has been. Pitzl disagreed, saying she sees some moderation.

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